Publisher: Korir, api africanpress@getmail.no source.standard.ke
Raila bounces back: How will he manage?
Prime Minister Raila Odinga is once again the centre of national attention after ending up in a government in which he has enough control to deliver some of the crucial changes Kenyans have long sought.
The man who — on May 6, last year at the Kenyatta International Conference Centre, where he submitted his “application” for the presidency — described himself as “the link to our forefathers’ visionary path towards the Kenyan Dream” has instead ended up being PM.
The negotiated position has put him at the centre of national attention and he says it is enough to enable him and President Kibaki deliver on devolution of power, which the people have long sought.
Last week he sent two messages across the nation. One: that he is committed to the deal and will work hard to keep the Grand Coalition alive until the 2012 General Election.
Two: that he will unite Kenya, the nation scarred by post-election dispute and the subsequent wave of killing, destruction and displacement.
On the day of his swearing in, he brought to a halt the terror of Mungiki sect members by promising to listen to them and asking them to stop the killings.
Although it is still early to tell how the Grand Coalition Government will turn out, projections are that the Prime Minister will be the greatest beneficiary should he, together with President Kibaki, steer the nation back on track by successfully tackling the national agenda in accordance with the peace accord they signed on February 28.
The long search for a new constitution, for which Raila has paid a personal price, is top on the agenda, together with the thorny issue of land, which runs hand in hand with resettlement of the internally displaced.
There is also reform of the Electoral Commission and the institution of a Truth, Justice and Reconciliation Commission to look into past crimes and abuses.
Observers say the President, serving his last term, will have less to worry about, save for his legacy. This is unlike Raila, who still has an eye on elective politics.
Through a negotiated deal, President Kibaki and the Prime Minister each have half of the Government. But the President remains the country’s chief executive, although the PM has powers to supervise and co-ordinate the activities of the ministries.
The PM, in public speeches and in an exclusive interview yesterday, indicated that he intend to run one government, not two with President Kibaki to deliver the transparency, efficiency and accountability in service delivery.
Raila, the Orange Democratic Movement leader, constitutionally has the “supervisory and co-ordinating” role over the other 42 members of the Cabinet.
But then there is the Vice-President, Mr Kalonzo Musyoka, who though coming from a peripheral party, is the President’s principal assistant and the Leader of Government Business in Parliament.
In between, there are deputy Prime ministers Uhuru Kenyatta and Musalia Mudavadi. Then there is Internal Security Minister Prof George Saitoti.
All the five are believed to nurture presidential ambitions, some having been presidential candidates or vice-presidents before.
Those familiar with the President say he is unlikely to show preference for or support any and each will depend on his own work and ability to network to cut through the maze.
The President has nearly one-half of Parliament, but through a constellation of fringe parties and his Party of National Unity.
But Raila has the other half in non-fragmented state. Parliament is the next theatre of action – the President and PM have promised a new constitution within a year.
For 15 years, and under two Presidents, Kenya has chased this dream, which has remained a mirage.
Raila, being the second Prime Minister after Mzee Jomo Kenyatta for one year after Independence, is the talking point.
Raila, with his energy and ability to mobilise, is expected to take centre-stage on seeing through some of the reforms the coalition has promised.
In the short time that he sealed the deal with President Kibaki, he is said to be in good working relationship with the Head of Public Service Francis Muthaura, who only a few days earlier, was seen to be working against him.
Raila is also said to be in a good relationship with Prof Saitoti and is expected to find an ally in Uhuru, who is described as an open person with no backstabbing intrigues.
On Thursday, Raila was sworn in and in the evening he was hosting the entire Government, except the President, to dinner in the company of foreign dignitaries, members of the diplomatic corps, and the chief mediator Dr Kofi Annan.
The diners included Mr Muthaura, and the Government Spokesman, Dr Alfred Mutua, who in recent weeks have been the bearers of PNU’s cold messages to ODM.
The next day, he was with the President and the VP at a VIP burial. The three rode in military choppers but the task of introducing the President fell on Raila, though it was Kalonzo who sat the closest.
The events of last week, and Raila’s promissory and reconciliatory tone, cast the image of a man at the junction of history.
On the one hand, and through a protracted and noisy process, he has delivered 20 ministers to the Government.
But lurking in the shadows is ODM’s belief its victory was stolen by President Kibaki. The road to the marriage itself was paved with thorns, both sides could not yield, and when they did, it was just on the magnitude of ornamental value.
Raila says that chapter is behind him, and is focused on making the best of what circumstances has forced on the nation.
There are also those who think the Kibaki succession bug will bite soon and Raila, who says he won but was defrauded by Kibaki, naturally, still has the eye on the prize. That is why, they say, even with the delicate balance with which he dished out positions in ODM, he intends to oil and strengthen the Orange political machine.
But this process is not expected to kick off soon. Observers say there is enough work to keep everyone busy for at least three years before people think of rebuilding their individual parties.
The belief is that the nation is so wounded that whoever will be seen to be rocking the boat at an early stage could face rejection by voters.
Already, the PM is said to be adopting a more quiet approach to dealing with the President, as opposed to ultimatums he used in the first Kibaki presidency.
Then there is the bigger question of whether the ‘forced’ relationship with Kibaki, to complete the political analogy of Kenya’s oil and water in one bottle, will mix well and fire the engine of the nation.
Raila is also the object of attention because, given his packed diary and active political life, he will probably be trying to get as much public exposure without overshadowing the President.
He will also be trying to win over his adversaries in the last election, with whom he is now in Government. During the negotiations they told him he was daydreaming – there would be no power sharing. Now they are in one boat, and he is a notch higher.
He also has the onerous task of expanding his frontiers, to fit into the image of the national office, without losing his stewardship of ODM, or even any of his powerful backers. He has towards this end already placated many of them, and by extension their communities, with plum positions.
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