Race for ‘08: Clinton widens her lead in California
New survey shows Clinton dominating the Democratic field in California - Obama said to be losing his luster
By Peter Hecht - Bee Capitol Bureau
Last Updated 5:06 am PDT Friday, August 17, 2007
Story appeared in MAIN NEWS section, Page A4
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton is expanding her lead in California as excitement for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is fading among Golden State voters, a new Field Poll revealed Thursday.
The New York senator held a commanding lead over the Democratic field, with 49 percent support to 19 percent for Obama and 10 percent for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards.
The survey of 418 Californians likely to vote in the Feb. 5 Democratic presidential primary showed Clinton leading — and gaining support — in every demographic category and California region measured.
As Clinton’s stock among Democratic primary voters increased from 41 percent in March, support for Obama dropped by nine points and Edwards by three.
“Apparently, Hillary has been faring well on the campaign trail. That’s really what you have to attribute it to,” said Mark DiCamillo, director of the California Field Poll.
By contrast, DiCamillo said Obama is losing luster with California voters since he burst onto the scene as the “the new face” drawing thousands of people to campaign rallies in Oakland and Los Angeles.
“I think what may be happening is that voters are filling in the blanks” as they learn more about Obama, DiCamillo said. “For some voters, maybe he is not as liberal as they wanted him to be and, for others, maybe he is not as conservative.
“He was a shooting star at the beginning of the campaign. Now he is coming down to Earth.”
Since March, Clinton has picked up support in particular among male voters and younger voters.
In the last state Field Poll, Obama led Clinton 39 percent to 38 percent among voters between the ages of 18 and 39. In the new poll, Clinton led him among the younger voters by 47 percent to 24 percent.
Meanwhile, she expanded her support among male Democrats from 41 percent in March to 47 percent in the latest poll taken Aug. 3-12.
The California poll results were similar to a recent national Gallup Poll, in which Clinton led among Democrats with 48 percent support to 16 percent for Obama and 12 percent for Edwards.
Officials of the Obama campaign have said they are counting on winning in early primary states — he led in recent polls in Iowa and South Carolina — to stir momentum for California. Obama has also outperformed Clinton in campaign fundraising this year.
But Luis Vizcaino, Clinton’s California campaign spokesman, said her showing in the state Field Poll “reflects the amount of time, effort and commitment she has dedicated to California.”
In the state’s coastal counties, Clinton led with 48 percent to 19 percent for Obama and 11 percent for Edwards. She fared even better in inland counties, leading with 52 percent support to 17 percent for Obama and 7 percent for Edwards.
In a poll of likely Nov. 4, 2008, general election voters of all parties, Clinton also fared well against the top GOP contenders. In hypothetical matchups, she led former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 52 percent to 37 percent among California voters, held a 55 percent to 35 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and led by the same margin over undeclared candidate and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson.
Obama led by 48 percent to 38 percent over Giuliani, 53 percent to 31 percent over Romney and 52 percent to 32 over Thompson. Edwards led Giuliani 47 percent to 42 percent, Romney by 52 percent to 33 percent and Thompson by 55 percent to 30 percent.
“There has been a lot of discussion about the fact that Hillary, if she were the nominee, would become a very divisive candidate and that would harm her general election chances,” DiCamillo said. “But you really see no evidence of a greater weakness of a Clinton candidacy, compared to Obama or Edwards, against the leading Republicans.”
Field Poll respondent and Fair Oaks resident Dan Wangberg, a Democrat who says he narrowly favors Clinton over Obama, said he very much can envision another Clinton in the White House.
“I think Bill Clinton was a great president, and now it’s the same as they said in 1992: You get two for one,” Wangberg said.
But poll respondent Jeff McMurray, a Placer County Republican who backs Giuliani, said he hopes the former mayor can “play better” in California because he is more politically moderate than many in his party. “I would vote for a standing rib roast over Hillary Clinton,” McMurray added. “Really, I’m less of a Giuliani supporter than an anyone-but-Hillary.”
Lifted and published by Korir, API*APN africanpress@chello.no tel +47 932 99 739 or +47 6300 2525